SILVER 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) solid technical resistance at $15.00

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								SILVER 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) solid technical resistance at $15.00

SILVER 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) solid technical resistance at $15.00

The silver bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage, but today’s price action suggests a market low was put in place in September. Silver bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing December futures prices above solid technical resistance at $15.00 an ounce.

The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the September low of $13.965. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $14.78 and then at $14.88. Next support is seen at $14.50 and then at this week’s low of $14.24.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 15.22.

The projected lower bound is: 14.27.

The projected closing price is: 14.75.


								SILVER 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) solid technical resistance at $15.00

Candlesticks

A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 20 white candles and 29 black candles for a net of 9 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 39.4067. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 56.88. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 41 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 6. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAG= closed up 0.519 at 14.740. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 40% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
14.235 14.820 14.220 14.740 11,442

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 14.56 14.43 15.79
Volatility: 25 21 20
Volume: 1,144 229 57

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

PREC.M.XAG= is currently 6.7% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 25 periods. The security price has set a new 14-period high while our momentum oscillator has not. This is a bearish divergence.

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