Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) New month, new mood

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								Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) New month, new mood

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) New month, new mood

115.55 was a high point in the first half of 2017 and is an upside target. 114.60 was the high point in early October and serves as resistance.

114 is a round number and was a stepping stone on the way down. 113.40 capped the pair in late October and is immediate resistance.

113.15 was a swing high back in July. 112.55 served as support in September and resistance in October, making it a significant level.

111.80 was the low point after the fall in mid-October. 111.50 capped the pair in August.

110.60 was a swing low in late July and then again in late August. 109.70 was a swing low in late August and provides extra support below the round 110 level.

Close by, 109.35 was a cushion in mid-July. 108.70 was a cushion early in the summer and 108.10 a swing low in late May.

Lower, we find 107.50 capped the pair in early April and is a strong line.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 112.09.

The projected upper bound is: 114.39.

The projected lower bound is: 112.00.

The projected closing price is: 113.19.


								Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) New month, new mood

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 7 white candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 76.6317. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 56.05. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 22 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 131.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX JPY= closed down -0.030 at 113.150. Volume was 98% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 35% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
113.170 113.190 113.110 113.150 2,500

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 112.64 112.37 109.92
Volatility: 7 7 7
Volume: 112,328 106,709 108,493

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX JPY= is currently 2.9% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of JPY= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 15 periods.

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