Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BOJ decision next

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								Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BOJ decision next

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BOJ decision next

The Japanese yen has posted considerable losses in the Monday session, erasing Friday’s gains. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 112.40, up 0.45% on the day. On the release front, Japanese retail sales posted a strong gain of 2.1%, matching the forecast. In the U.S, the Core PCE Price Index gained 0.2%, edging above the estimate of 0.1%. Personal spending edged up to 0.4%, matching the forecast. However, personal income dipped to 0.2%, its lowest level since August 2017. On Tuesday, the U.S releases CB consumer confidence. In Japan, the BoJ winds up its policy meeting and will release a policy statement.

Japanese retail sales posted gains for a 11th straight month, on an annualized basis. The Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) noted that high costs for food and energy boosted retail sales. METI upgraded its assessment, saying that retail sales were improving “gradually”. Despite stronger consumer spending, the yen started the week with losses. The markets are keeping a close eye on the Bank of Japan, with policymakers expected to maintain the current monetary policy at the upcoming policy meeting.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 113.57.

The projected lower bound is: 111.21.

The projected closing price is: 112.39.


								Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BOJ decision next

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 7 white candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 57.5343. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 48.96. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 18 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 37. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 15 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX JPY= closed down -0.010 at 112.350. Volume was 91% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 13% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
112.360 112.390 112.310 112.350 9,574

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 112.38 112.20 109.84
Volatility: 6 7 8
Volume: 113,519 105,924 108,692

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX JPY= is currently 2.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of JPY= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 11 periods.

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