Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through notable swing high

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								Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through notable swing high

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through notable swing high

EUR/USD has once again muddied the water, with the rally through $1.1393 providing a new higher high to negate the lower low formed with the break below $1.1305.

That provides a potential bullish phase coming into play, which will likely be determined by affairs at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) later today. Watch for a break through the $1.1443 level to confirm the more bullish view that is building with the break above $1.1393.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways

The projected upper bound is: 1.15.

The projected lower bound is: 1.12.

The projected closing price is: 1.14.


								Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through notable swing high

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 65.0902. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 15 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 51.87. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 89 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 139.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 23 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX EUR= closed up 0.002 at 1.138. Volume was 15% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 62% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1.136 1.144 1.136 1.138 161,727

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.14 1.14 1.17
Volatility: 6 8 8
Volume: 162,850 147,129 141,016

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX EUR= is currently 2.7% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EUR= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 9 periods.

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