Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) downtrend intact

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								Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) downtrend intact

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) downtrend intact

Short-term support for EUR/USD has been found around $1.13, coinciding with a decent bounce from intraday oversold conditions.

However, for the moment this merely looks like a lower high within the current downtrend. A turn lower from below $1.1146 would mark another potential selling opportunity, and would see the $1.13 area tested again. A bounce above $1.14 would open the way to $1.145 and then $1.155.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.16.

The projected upper bound is: 1.15.

The projected lower bound is: 1.13.

The projected closing price is: 1.14.


								Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) downtrend intact

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.

A bearish harami occurred (where the current small black body is contained within an unusually large white body). During an uptrend this pattern implies an end to the rally as the bulls appear to have exhausted themselves.

During a downtrend (which appears to be the case with FOREX EUR=) the bearish harami pattern is bullish as the bulls appear to be gaining strength as the bears weaken.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 57.7024. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 42.70. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 56 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -30. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 11 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX EUR= closed down -0.001 at 1.140. Volume was 97% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 4% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1.141 1.142 1.140 1.140 4,600

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.14 1.16 1.19
Volatility: 8 8 8
Volume: 124,397 130,946 138,418

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX EUR= is currently 3.9% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume out of EUR= (mildly bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on EUR= and have had this outlook for the last 22 periods.

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