British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) falling back towards crucial support level

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								British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) falling back towards crucial support level

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) falling back towards crucial support level

GBP/USD is falling once more, with the pair moving closer to the crucial $1.2922 support level. The falling wedge seen throughout the past week is pointing towards a potential bullish break at some point.

However, the ability to break below $1.2922 is the real signal for the medium term as this would complete a wider double top formation. As such, watch for a break below $1.2922 as a bearish wider signal, upon which we are likely to see that upward wedge break and move into a retracement phase.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.31.

The projected upper bound is: 1.31.

The projected lower bound is: 1.27.

The projected closing price is: 1.29.


								British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) falling back towards crucial support level

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 22 black candles for a net of 6 white candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 11.3522. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 7 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 40.54. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 47 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -161.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX GBP= closed down -0.006 at 1.292. Volume was 19% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 6% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1.298 1.299 1.289 1.292 141,972

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.31 1.30 1.35
Volatility: 9 10 9
Volume: 187,477 176,475 172,467

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX GBP= is currently 4.1% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of GBP= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on GBP= and have had this outlook for the last 4 periods.

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