British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) back to the lows

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								British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) back to the lows

British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) back to the lows

GBP/USD has fallen to a new two-month low this morning, and a close below the $1.2770 lows of last week would suggest that a move to the August lows at $1.2661 is in play.

A recovery above $1.2860 would suggest that some bullish strength is developing.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.30.

The projected upper bound is: 1.29.

The projected lower bound is: 1.25.

The projected closing price is: 1.27.


								British Pound: USD/GBP (GBP=X) back to the lows

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 9.6370. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 11 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 31.41. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 51 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -134.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 12 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX GBP= closed down -0.008 at 1.271. Volume was 4% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 54% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1.279 1.281 1.269 1.271 183,706

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.29 1.30 1.34
Volatility: 8 10 9
Volume: 192,557 179,444 173,631

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX GBP= is currently 5.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of GBP= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on GBP= and have had this outlook for the last 8 periods.

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